波士顿房价预测
作者：互联网
波士顿房价预测
import numpy as np
import matplotlib
from sklearn import linear_model
from sklearn.datasets import load_boston
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
from sklearn.metrics import mean_squared_error
from sklearn.metrics import mean_absolute_error
1.获取数据
1.1通过load_boston()获取数据
boston = load_boston()
特征含义
CRIM：城镇人均犯罪率。
ZN：住宅用地超过 25000 sq.ft. 的比例。
INDUS：城镇非零售商用土地的比例。
CHAS：查理斯河空变量（如果边界是河流，则为1；否则为0）。
NOX：一氧化氮浓度。
RM：住宅平均房间数。
AGE：1940 年之前建成的自用房屋比例。
DIS：到波士顿五个中心区域的加权距离。
RAD：辐射性公路的接近指数。
TAX：每 10000 美元的全值财产税率。
PTRATIO：城镇师生比例。
B：1000（Bk-0.63）^ 2，其中 Bk 指代城镇中黑人的比例。
LSTAT：人口中地位低下者的比例。
MEDV：自住房的平均房价，以千美元计。
# 数据描述
print(boston.DESCR)
.. _boston_dataset:
Boston house prices dataset
---------------------------
**Data Set Characteristics:**
:Number of Instances: 506
:Number of Attributes: 13 numeric/categorical predictive. Median Value (attribute 14) is usually the target.
:Attribute Information (in order):
- CRIM per capita crime rate by town
- ZN proportion of residential land zoned for lots over 25,000 sq.ft.
- INDUS proportion of non-retail business acres per town
- CHAS Charles River dummy variable (= 1 if tract bounds river; 0 otherwise)
- NOX nitric oxides concentration (parts per 10 million)
- RM average number of rooms per dwelling
- AGE proportion of owner-occupied units built prior to 1940
- DIS weighted distances to five Boston employment centres
- RAD index of accessibility to radial highways
- TAX full-value property-tax rate per $10,000
- PTRATIO pupil-teacher ratio by town
- B 1000(Bk - 0.63)^2 where Bk is the proportion of blacks by town
- LSTAT % lower status of the population
- MEDV Median value of owner-occupied homes in $1000's
:Missing Attribute Values: None
:Creator: Harrison, D. and Rubinfeld, D.L.
This is a copy of UCI ML housing dataset.
https://archive.ics.uci.edu/ml/machine-learning-databases/housing/
This dataset was taken from the StatLib library which is maintained at Carnegie Mellon University.
The Boston house-price data of Harrison, D. and Rubinfeld, D.L. ‘Hedonic
prices and the demand for clean air’, J. Environ. Economics & Management,
vol.5, 81-102, 1978. Used in Belsley, Kuh & Welsch, ‘Regression diagnostics
…’, Wiley, 1980. N.B. Various transformations are used in the table on
pages 244-261 of the latter.
The Boston house-price data has been used in many machine learning papers that address regression
problems.
.. topic:: References
- Belsley, Kuh & Welsch, 'Regression diagnostics: Identifying Influential Data and Sources of Collinearity', Wiley, 1980. 244-261.
- Quinlan,R. (1993). Combining Instance-Based and Model-Based Learning. In Proceedings on the Tenth International Conference of Machine Learning, 236-243, University of Massachusetts, Amherst. Morgan Kaufmann.
# 查看数据
print(boston)
{'data': array([[6.3200e-03, 1.8000e+01, 2.3100e+00, ..., 1.5300e+01, 3.9690e+02,
4.9800e+00],
[2.7310e-02, 0.0000e+00, 7.0700e+00, ..., 1.7800e+01, 3.9690e+02,
9.1400e+00],
[2.7290e-02, 0.0000e+00, 7.0700e+00, ..., 1.7800e+01, 3.9283e+02,
4.0300e+00],
...,
[6.0760e-02, 0.0000e+00, 1.1930e+01, ..., 2.1000e+01, 3.9690e+02,
5.6400e+00],
[1.0959e-01, 0.0000e+00, 1.1930e+01, ..., 2.1000e+01, 3.9345e+02,
6.4800e+00],
[4.7410e-02, 0.0000e+00, 1.1930e+01, ..., 2.1000e+01, 3.9690e+02,
7.8800e+00]]), 'target': array([24. , 21.6, 34.7, 33.4, 36.2, 28.7, 22.9, 27.1, 16.5, 18.9, 15. ,
18.9, 21.7, 20.4, 18.2, 19.9, 23.1, 17.5, 20.2, 18.2, 13.6, 19.6,
15.2, 14.5, 15.6, 13.9, 16.6, 14.8, 18.4, 21. , 12.7, 14.5, 13.2,
13.1, 13.5, 18.9, 20. , 21. , 24.7, 30.8, 34.9, 26.6, 25.3, 24.7,
21.2, 19.3, 20. , 16.6, 14.4, 19.4, 19.7, 20.5, 25. , 23.4, 18.9,
35.4, 24.7, 31.6, 23.3, 19.6, 18.7, 16. , 22.2, 25. , 33. , 23.5,
19.4, 22. , 17.4, 20.9, 24.2, 21.7, 22.8, 23.4, 24.1, 21.4, 20. ,
20.8, 21.2, 20.3, 28. , 23.9, 24.8, 22.9, 23.9, 26.6, 22.5, 22.2,
23.6, 28.7, 22.6, 22. , 22.9, 25. , 20.6, 28.4, 21.4, 38.7, 43.8,
33.2, 27.5, 26.5, 18.6, 19.3, 20.1, 19.5, 19.5, 20.4, 19.8, 19.4,
21.7, 22.8, 18.8, 18.7, 18.5, 18.3, 21.2, 19.2, 20.4, 19.3, 22. ,
20.3, 20.5, 17.3, 18.8, 21.4, 15.7, 16.2, 18. , 14.3, 19.2, 19.6,
23. , 18.4, 15.6, 18.1, 17.4, 17.1, 13.3, 17.8, 14. , 14.4, 13.4,
15.6, 11.8, 13.8, 15.6, 14.6, 17.8, 15.4, 21.5, 19.6, 15.3, 19.4,
17. , 15.6, 13.1, 41.3, 24.3, 23.3, 27. , 50. , 50. , 50. , 22.7,
25. , 50. , 23.8, 23.8, 22.3, 17.4, 19.1, 23.1, 23.6, 22.6, 29.4,
23.2, 24.6, 29.9, 37.2, 39.8, 36.2, 37.9, 32.5, 26.4, 29.6, 50. ,
32. , 29.8, 34.9, 37. , 30.5, 36.4, 31.1, 29.1, 50. , 33.3, 30.3,
34.6, 34.9, 32.9, 24.1, 42.3, 48.5, 50. , 22.6, 24.4, 22.5, 24.4,
20. , 21.7, 19.3, 22.4, 28.1, 23.7, 25. , 23.3, 28.7, 21.5, 23. ,
26.7, 21.7, 27.5, 30.1, 44.8, 50. , 37.6, 31.6, 46.7, 31.5, 24.3,
31.7, 41.7, 48.3, 29. , 24. , 25.1, 31.5, 23.7, 23.3, 22. , 20.1,
22.2, 23.7, 17.6, 18.5, 24.3, 20.5, 24.5, 26.2, 24.4, 24.8, 29.6,
42.8, 21.9, 20.9, 44. , 50. , 36. , 30.1, 33.8, 43.1, 48.8, 31. ,
36.5, 22.8, 30.7, 50. , 43.5, 20.7, 21.1, 25.2, 24.4, 35.2, 32.4,
32. , 33.2, 33.1, 29.1, 35.1, 45.4, 35.4, 46. , 50. , 32.2, 22. ,
20.1, 23.2, 22.3, 24.8, 28.5, 37.3, 27.9, 23.9, 21.7, 28.6, 27.1,
20.3, 22.5, 29. , 24.8, 22. , 26.4, 33.1, 36.1, 28.4, 33.4, 28.2,
22.8, 20.3, 16.1, 22.1, 19.4, 21.6, 23.8, 16.2, 17.8, 19.8, 23.1,
21. , 23.8, 23.1, 20.4, 18.5, 25. , 24.6, 23. , 22.2, 19.3, 22.6,
19.8, 17.1, 19.4, 22.2, 20.7, 21.1, 19.5, 18.5, 20.6, 19. , 18.7,
32.7, 16.5, 23.9, 31.2, 17.5, 17.2, 23.1, 24.5, 26.6, 22.9, 24.1,
18.6, 30.1, 18.2, 20.6, 17.8, 21.7, 22.7, 22.6, 25. , 19.9, 20.8,
16.8, 21.9, 27.5, 21.9, 23.1, 50. , 50. , 50. , 50. , 50. , 13.8,
13.8, 15. , 13.9, 13.3, 13.1, 10.2, 10.4, 10.9, 11.3, 12.3, 8.8,
7.2, 10.5, 7.4, 10.2, 11.5, 15.1, 23.2, 9.7, 13.8, 12.7, 13.1,
12.5, 8.5, 5. , 6.3, 5.6, 7.2, 12.1, 8.3, 8.5, 5. , 11.9,
27.9, 17.2, 27.5, 15. , 17.2, 17.9, 16.3, 7. , 7.2, 7.5, 10.4,
8.8, 8.4, 16.7, 14.2, 20.8, 13.4, 11.7, 8.3, 10.2, 10.9, 11. ,
9.5, 14.5, 14.1, 16.1, 14.3, 11.7, 13.4, 9.6, 8.7, 8.4, 12.8,
10.5, 17.1, 18.4, 15.4, 10.8, 11.8, 14.9, 12.6, 14.1, 13. , 13.4,
15.2, 16.1, 17.8, 14.9, 14.1, 12.7, 13.5, 14.9, 20. , 16.4, 17.7,
19.5, 20.2, 21.4, 19.9, 19. , 19.1, 19.1, 20.1, 19.9, 19.6, 23.2,
29.8, 13.8, 13.3, 16.7, 12. , 14.6, 21.4, 23. , 23.7, 25. , 21.8,
20.6, 21.2, 19.1, 20.6, 15.2, 7. , 8.1, 13.6, 20.1, 21.8, 24.5,
23.1, 19.7, 18.3, 21.2, 17.5, 16.8, 22.4, 20.6, 23.9, 22. , 11.9]), 'feature_names': array(['CRIM', 'ZN', 'INDUS', 'CHAS', 'NOX', 'RM', 'AGE', 'DIS', 'RAD',
'TAX', 'PTRATIO', 'B', 'LSTAT'], dtype='<U7'), 'DESCR': ".. _boston_dataset:\n\nBoston house prices dataset\n---------------------------\n\n**Data Set Characteristics:** \n\n :Number of Instances: 506 \n\n :Number of Attributes: 13 numeric/categorical predictive. Median Value (attribute 14) is usually the target.\n\n :Attribute Information (in order):\n - CRIM per capita crime rate by town\n - ZN proportion of residential land zoned for lots over 25,000 sq.ft.\n - INDUS proportion of non-retail business acres per town\n - CHAS Charles River dummy variable (= 1 if tract bounds river; 0 otherwise)\n - NOX nitric oxides concentration (parts per 10 million)\n - RM average number of rooms per dwelling\n - AGE proportion of owner-occupied units built prior to 1940\n - DIS weighted distances to five Boston employment centres\n - RAD index of accessibility to radial highways\n - TAX full-value property-tax rate per $10,000\n - PTRATIO pupil-teacher ratio by town\n - B 1000(Bk - 0.63)^2 where Bk is the proportion of blacks by town\n - LSTAT % lower status of the population\n - MEDV Median value of owner-occupied homes in $1000's\n\n :Missing Attribute Values: None\n\n :Creator: Harrison, D. and Rubinfeld, D.L.\n\nThis is a copy of UCI ML housing dataset.\nhttps://archive.ics.uci.edu/ml/machine-learning-databases/housing/\n\n\nThis dataset was taken from the StatLib library which is maintained at Carnegie Mellon University.\n\nThe Boston house-price data of Harrison, D. and Rubinfeld, D.L. 'Hedonic\nprices and the demand for clean air', J. Environ. Economics & Management,\nvol.5, 81-102, 1978. Used in Belsley, Kuh & Welsch, 'Regression diagnostics\n...', Wiley, 1980. N.B. Various transformations are used in the table on\npages 244-261 of the latter.\n\nThe Boston house-price data has been used in many machine learning papers that address regression\nproblems. \n \n.. topic:: References\n\n - Belsley, Kuh & Welsch, 'Regression diagnostics: Identifying Influential Data and Sources of Collinearity', Wiley, 1980. 244-261.\n - Quinlan,R. (1993). Combining Instance-Based and Model-Based Learning. In Proceedings on the Tenth International Conference of Machine Learning, 236-243, University of Massachusetts, Amherst. Morgan Kaufmann.\n", 'filename': '/Users/maqi/opt/anaconda3/envs/mq_env/lib/python3.8/site-packages/sklearn/datasets/data/boston_house_prices.csv'}
取特征X和标签y
X = boston.data
y = boston.target
1.2 从文件读取
使用pandas读取。
import pandas as pd
df = pd.read_excel('data/boston.xls')
df
| Unnamed: 0 | CRIM | ZN | INDUS | CHAS | NOX | RM | AGE | DIS | RAD | TAX | PTRATIO | B | LSTAT | price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0.00632 | 18.0 | 2.31 | 0 | 0.538 | 6.575 | 65.2 | 4.0900 | 1 | 296 | 15.3 | 396.90 | 4.98 | 24.0 |
| 1 | 1 | 0.02731 | 0.0 | 7.07 | 0 | 0.469 | 6.421 | 78.9 | 4.9671 | 2 | 242 | 17.8 | 396.90 | 9.14 | 21.6 |
| 2 | 2 | 0.02729 | 0.0 | 7.07 | 0 | 0.469 | 7.185 | 61.1 | 4.9671 | 2 | 242 | 17.8 | 392.83 | 4.03 | 34.7 |
| 3 | 3 | 0.03237 | 0.0 | 2.18 | 0 | 0.458 | 6.998 | 45.8 | 6.0622 | 3 | 222 | 18.7 | 394.63 | 2.94 | 33.4 |
| 4 | 4 | 0.06905 | 0.0 | 2.18 | 0 | 0.458 | 7.147 | 54.2 | 6.0622 | 3 | 222 | 18.7 | 396.90 | 5.33 | 36.2 |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| 501 | 501 | 0.06263 | 0.0 | 11.93 | 0 | 0.573 | 6.593 | 69.1 | 2.4786 | 1 | 273 | 21.0 | 391.99 | 9.67 | 22.4 |
| 502 | 502 | 0.04527 | 0.0 | 11.93 | 0 | 0.573 | 6.120 | 76.7 | 2.2875 | 1 | 273 | 21.0 | 396.90 | 9.08 | 20.6 |
| 503 | 503 | 0.06076 | 0.0 | 11.93 | 0 | 0.573 | 6.976 | 91.0 | 2.1675 | 1 | 273 | 21.0 | 396.90 | 5.64 | 23.9 |
| 504 | 504 | 0.10959 | 0.0 | 11.93 | 0 | 0.573 | 6.794 | 89.3 | 2.3889 | 1 | 273 | 21.0 | 393.45 | 6.48 | 22.0 |
| 505 | 505 | 0.04741 | 0.0 | 11.93 | 0 | 0.573 | 6.030 | 80.8 | 2.5050 | 1 | 273 | 21.0 | 396.90 | 7.88 | 11.9 |
506 rows × 15 columns
取特征X和标签y
X = df[df.columns[0:-1]]
y = df[df.columns[-1]]
2、选择合适的机器学习模型
该问题是房价预测问题，线性回归能很好的应用于预测问题，因此我们选择使用线性回归模型
model = linear_model.Ridge(alpha=0.1)
model.fit(X,y)
y_hat = model.predict(X)
3、训练模型(使用交叉验证选择合适的参数)
# 切分数据集
X_train,X_test,y_train,y_test = train_test_split(X,y,test_size=0.2)
from sklearn.model_selection import GridSearchCV
ridge_model = linear_model.Ridge()
# 可选参数范围
param = {'alpha':[0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.5,0.8,1],'normalize':[True,False]}
# cv=5 5折交叉验证
gsearch = GridSearchCV(estimator=ridge_model,param_grid=param,cv=5,scoring='neg_mean_squared_error')
gsearch.fit(X_train,y_train)
GridSearchCV(cv=5, error_score=nan,
estimator=Ridge(alpha=1.0, copy_X=True, fit_intercept=True,
max_iter=None, normalize=False, random_state=None,
solver='auto', tol=0.001),
iid='deprecated', n_jobs=None,
param_grid={'alpha': [0.01, 0.03, 0.05, 0.07, 0.1, 0.5, 0.8, 1],
'normalize': [True, False]},
pre_dispatch='2*n_jobs', refit=True, return_train_score=False,
scoring='neg_mean_squared_error', verbose=0)
# 最优参数
gsearch.best_params_,gsearch.best_score_
({'alpha': 0.03, 'normalize': True}, -26.79889044849392)
4、模型评价
final_model = linear_model.Ridge(alpha=0.03,normalize=True)
final_model.fit(X_train,y_train)
y_train_hat = final_model.predict(X_train)
y_test_hat = final_model.predict(X_test)
print("train-MSE=",mean_squared_error(y_train,y_train_hat))
print("test-MSE=",mean_squared_error(y_test,y_test_hat))
train-MSE= 23.97025486039045
test-MSE= 14.309867058504892
5、上线部署使用
5.1 保存模型
from sklearn.externals import joblib
joblib.dump(final_model,"house_train_model.m")
/Users/maqi/opt/anaconda3/envs/mq_env/lib/python3.8/site-packages/sklearn/externals/joblib/__init__.py:15: FutureWarning: sklearn.externals.joblib is deprecated in 0.21 and will be removed in 0.23. Please import this functionality directly from joblib, which can be installed with: pip install joblib. If this warning is raised when loading pickled models, you may need to re-serialize those models with scikit-learn 0.21+.
warnings.warn(msg, category=FutureWarning)
['house_train_model.m']
5.2 模型读取
load_model = joblib.load("house_train_model.m")
load_model.predict(X_test)
array([30.86303512, 32.79968797, 18.13455905, 20.40093887, 22.55648762,
18.52481884, 5.79687417, 21.9629842 , 9.0068248 , 9.96212273,
17.65398317, 30.25054533, 25.10003805, 17.40790836, 21.33936858,
33.59055899, 16.86450916, 19.61200224, 6.91328576, 25.14956329,
29.29708671, 15.44101851, 38.50687743, 15.56660779, 28.75792533,
14.87142875, 26.98223834, 15.26065778, 18.16696527, 28.15512538,
24.97284918, 21.69102163, 32.29555697, 20.20588182, 20.21130528,
19.51947782, 26.97609243, 17.12827828, 22.2803063 , 22.64121736,
8.72866157, 22.17943575, 28.66894552, 22.05452734, 18.08105446,
27.06372036, 29.40518658, 20.53498735, 34.30239592, 25.2630965 ,
17.91569653, 16.47077539, 24.93826934, 17.02902032, 28.46656821,
19.43795752, 31.32818684, 39.21693664, 10.21290457, 29.7576716 ,
18.44035523, 21.47856043, 15.61795029, 27.61939858, 32.41498347,
23.21414905, 13.9004624 , 21.08777079, 21.59304958, 19.0168253 ,
16.66463116, 34.61710439, 20.45793411, 23.45252405, 23.49866486,
25.68604367, 22.90430613, 18.7968677 , 21.45816043, 25.57413156,
27.04579564, 14.41884812, 14.45022443, 13.35822713, 13.6005322 ,
27.78762317, 23.48920868, 6.76428576, 22.03442767, 20.09361292,
21.33547403, 36.87517116, 37.20038258, 31.35625611, 25.66105111,
23.32712931, 35.89108294, 16.60310795, 19.15123475, 22.65298319,
24.98301704, 36.00402402])
标签：00,01,预测,房价,50,train,test,model,波士顿 来源： https://blog.csdn.net/qq_39827677/article/details/118461614