后疫情时代的世界格局

正当全球一体化深入发展之时，病毒给人类当头一棒。

这让我想起一个圣经中的故事。亚当、夏娃被赶出伊甸园之后，人类才出现在地球上，繁衍生息，说同种语言。一天，人类想造一座通天塔（Tower of Babel，巴别塔），再回到天堂上。然后就开始动工了。工程已经开始了一段时间，被上帝知道了。上帝耻笑人类的愚蠢和狂妄：这是不可能的！为避免人类继续愚蠢下去，上帝变换了人类的语言，从此不能互相沟通，也就不能团结一致造通天塔，终止了愚蠢行为。

疫情让全球一体化的进程突然终止，有类似上述故事之效。

后疫情时代的世界格局大概是这样子的。

1、去全球化经济发展。疫情到来之时，首先受到冲击的是全球供应链。欧美已经开始建自己本地工厂，保证关键物资供应，以应对下一次全球灾难。

2、世界的政治和经济格局也划分为以下几个主要实体：美国及其盟友（日本、韩国、澳大利亚等）、欧盟、俄罗斯和中国。这几个主要实体的博弈，以美国及其盟友和欧盟打压中国为主。从人类长远发展的角度看，世界的不稳定因素主要产生于美国及其盟友对中国的对抗。而欧盟将是稳定世界的力量。

3、两种意识形态对抗更严重。

古今中外的先贤早已认识到人的双重属性：精神和肉体。从肉体角度讲，更接近于兽；从精神角度讲，更接近于神。人自身的矛盾是非常有限的肉体能力（甚至不如一头动物）和无限自由的精神之间的矛盾。无限自由的精神始终想让受限的肉体获得更多的自由，因此产生了创造行为。比如造飞机是想像鸟一样自由飞翔。

人的双重属性形成了两种价值观，或意识形态：一种追求精神层面提升，另一种追求肉体享受。中国古代及西方古代哲学家和思想家指出，二者平衡才为理想。

西方价价值观注重精神和身体的健康；而中国近几十年来的价值观只注重肉体的享受，认为幸福的生活就是吃喝玩乐，用丰富的物资生活享受吸引并向世人诠释人生真谛。举办各种进口博览会以及海南自由贸易岛的建立，都向世界宣告：中国要买世界上一切好的东西来享受。而世界确实也只把中国看作是一个大的消费市场。

欧、美打压中国不仅仅是害怕中国的经济强大，还是从地球有限资源的消耗角度采取的措施。中国的高速发展消耗了过多的地球资源，碳排放量更大，带来的是地球环境的恶化。横扫世界的疫情也刚好给了世界一个打压中国的借口。

所有的对抗都是表象，归根结底，人类又回到了自苏格拉底以来的终极命题—人生究竟。

人生究竟问题的探讨在欧洲已经沉寂了200年，在中国已经沉寂了500年。人类的发展是个循环运动，看似日日在更新，其实，看似新的事物曾经出现过了。这里节选《马克.奥勒留传》（Marcus Aurelius）的作者亨利.德怀特.塞奇威克（Henry Dwight Sedgwick）在导论里的几句话，描述的2000年前人类的样子：“他们四下张望，看见了悲伤、疾病、年老、各种失衡、国家间战争、内乱、邻里间争端、地震和狂风暴雨。这就是那个时候的世界，如今也没有太大的不同。那么，在这样一个世界里，一个人应该做些什么才能使自己相信：这是一个有序而非混乱的世界；在其中，除了虚荣，还有其它；假若人心长有一双灵性的眼睛，那么人心就会声明，什么东西是有意义的，而这种有意义的东西就在这个世界里？” 

那么，后疫情时代，对于各国普通民众有何影响呢？最直接的感受就是世界更加动荡、赚钱更难、物价上涨。

The layout and outlook of the World of post pandemic

When the globalization is developed deeply, The COVID-19 suddenly stopped this ambition of human being.

This reminder me of a story, it is The Tower of Babel. After Adam and Eve were expelled from Eden, they went to Earth for living and raising their offspring, and then, human being came into being and speaks same language. 

One day, human wanted to build a tower, which is high enough to reach heaven, by which they can go back to heaven. God knew this. God knew it was impossible for human to achieve this goal, and changed their language into different languages. Because of not understanding each other, they stopped building of Tower.

What is the impact of pandemic on the world? And what is the outlook and layout of the world of post pandemic?

Firstly, Economic development will be de-globalization. Lockdown is the most effective measure to control the wide spread of virus when pandemic comes. Lockdown results in heavy damages to global supply chains, which results in severe subsequences. Realizing the important role of supply chains play amid pandemic, each nation will build their own factories for producing important goods.

Secondly, main political and economic entity will be: American Ally (Japan, Korea, Australia as main members), EU, Russia and China. EU and American Ally will contain China. From future development point of view, the instability of the World comes from conquering between American Ally and China. On the other hand, EU will be a force to keep the stabilization of the world.

Thirdly, more severe conflicts between two ideologies. Human being has two attributes: spirit and flesh. From flesh point of view, it is closer to beasts; and from spirit, it is closer to God. Thus, two ideologies are formed. The conflict human has is that between limited ability of flesh and free spirit. The conflict in human is the power source of invention. Different ideologies pursue different enjoyment of living. Western values heath of spirit and body, on the contrary, China values enjoyment of flesh. The conflict between two ideologies is, in fact, that between spirit and flesh.

标签：时代,格局,疫情,flesh,世界,will,human,between,spirit
来源： https://blog.51cto.com/gooltsing/2869971